Tuesday, November 28, 2017

Worldview Matters III - The Pool of Live Options

Why Does Worldview Matter? The Impact of Worldview III – Pool of Live Options


Worldview is the conceptual lens through which we see, understand, and interpret the world and our place within it. Worldview develops in and flows through the heart, the center of the human person, and necessarily involves answers (propositional or narrative) to four questions: What is our nature? What is our world? What is our problem? What is our end? Every person possesses a worldview that provides an answer or set of answers to these core worldview questions, but these individual worldviews can be compiled under broad categories.

But why does worldview matter? How does worldview affect us? Why bother learning about it as a concept, and one’s own worldview specifically? What does it have to do with life? Simply put, worldview matters because one’s worldview affects everything that one thinks and does, through confirmation bias, experiential accommodation, the pool of live options, and life motivation. Previously, I’ve talked about confirmation bias and experiential accommodation. Today, I’d like to examine my favorite aspect of worldview impact – how worldview affects our PoLO, or Pool of Live Options.


Worldview and the Pool of Live Options.

Worldview determines the pool of live options, the set of possible explanations for a given phenomenon. Worldview determines the antecedent possibility or plausibility of various explanations or theories.

One might consider, for example, someone’s need to explain the mysterious appearance of mail in his mailbox on a day that mail is not delivered. John returns home from attending weekly worship at his church and discovers a letter from Aunt Martha in the mailbox outside the front door of his townhouse. He is, needless to say, surprised. Mail is not normally delivered on the Sabbath day. How then shall he explain this apparent
mystery?

His ten-year-old son offers a potential explanation: “The postal service must have started delivering on the sabbath.” His wife offers another explanation: “Yesterday’s mail was probably delivered to Mr. and Mrs. Jones across the street (in 2843 Fallow Court as opposed to his 2834 Fallow Court) by mistake, and they brought it over for us today.” His wide-eyed seven-year-old daughter offers a third possible explanation: “Aliens stole our mail yesterday and brought it back today.” His new friend Art offers a fourth explanation: “Did you not know, have you not heard, that here in the United States, mail is delivered every Saturday? It is only lazy Canadian postal workers who get the whole weekend off.” (Did I forget to mention that the worship service was at a Seventh-Day Adventist Church? My apologies for the oversight.)

Each of the four explanations is, theoretically speaking, possible. Nonetheless, the four alternatives are not accorded the same weight of plausibility. Within John’s own worldview, option three (aliens) will be immediately discarded from the realm of possibility. His skepticism concerning the existence of extraterrestrial life forms (and his accompanying conviction that, even if they should happen to exist, the possibility of them traveling to earth is extremely remote) rules out his daughter’s suggestion. Simply put, his underlying worldview does not allow for the alien explanation in his pool of live options. Kelly James Clark argues, “Explanatory power is not the only factor involved in the assessment of hypotheses; hypotheses must also be judged to have some initial likelihood of being true. And judgments of initial likelihood are conditioned by our deepest commitments.” When faced with unusual phenomena or extraordinary claims, our worldview presuppositions govern their antecedent plausibility.

Imagine that Aunt Rose has been diagnosed with terminal, untreatable cancer. Her family prays for God’s miraculous healing. Weeks later, the doctors find her to be entirely free from the cancer that had ravaged her body. How do you explain what happened? For the Christian theist, the answer could be quite simple. God healed Aunt Rose out of his infinite, compassionate mercy and love, in response to the humble prayers of his children. For the atheist, such an explanation is not possible. It lies outside the pool of live options. Either the initial diagnosis of cancer was mistaken, or there had been some kind of treatment that rid her body of cancer—or there is some other unknown natural explanation for her sudden healing. Whatever the case, Aunt Rose was not the recipient of a divine miracle. God does not exist to perform such miracles, and therefore it cannot be the explanation.

Consider the Christian belief in the resurrection of Jesus Christ. Worldview presuppositions determine whether the historically orthodox understanding of Jesus’ resurrection is within the pool of live options. For example, prominent biblical scholar John Dominic Crossan is committed to a naturalistic worldview that denies supernatural interaction with the closed physical universe. Furthermore, he insists that human life ceases absolutely and irrevocably at death. Those worldview presuppositions render the orthodox resurrection in-credible (that is, not believable). A supernatural bodily resurrection is not within the pool of live options given Crossan’s worldview. Whatever explanation is given for Christian resurrection belief, Crossan’s explanation (and the explanation of others holding to a naturalistic worldview) simply cannot be that Jesus was truly raised from the dead.

Crossan once engaged in a public debate with William Lane Craig regarding the resurrection of Jesus. During their dialogue, there is a fascinating and very revealing exchange. First, Craig asks Crossan, “What evidence would it take to convince you [that the resurrection really happened]? Or are your preconceived ideas about the impossibility of the miraculous and so forth so strong that, in fact, they skew your historical judgment so that such an event could never even be admitted into court?” Craig is asking Crossan what type and amount of evidence would convince him that Jesus really was raised from the dead. Crossan’s reply is revealing: “It’s a theological presupposition of mine that God does not operate that way. . . . What would it take to prove to me what you ask? I don’t know, unless God changes the universe.” In other words, there is no type or amount of evidence that could convince Crossan of the literal truth of the resurrection of Jesus. He has a theological presupposition that God would not do such things. It is a part of his worldview. Crossan is absolutely closed to the possibility of Jesus’ bodily resurrection because it does not fit within his worldview. Worldview determines our pool of live options and thus governs the way that we interpret data that we encounter.

One of my favorite detective shows is Psych, starring James Roday as Shawn Spencer, a highly observant independent investigator who pretends that his empirically driven insights are psychic visions. In one episode, “This Episode Sucks,” a murder victim is found with puncture wounds on his neck and both wrists, and most of the blood drained from his body. Spencer and his “assistant” Burton Guster immediately conclude that the murder was perpetrated by a vampire; their hypothesis is just as quickly rejected by police detectives Juliet O’Hara and Carlton Lassiter. Spencer and Guster embrace a worldview wherein paranormal creatures (Bigfoot, vampires, etc.) are legitimate possibilities; for O’Hara and Lassiter, such creatures fall outside the pool of live options. There must be a different, “normal” explanation for the murder (as indeed there is in this case).

Being aware of one’s own (and others’) worldview, then, can help identify when and where one’s pool of live options is broadened or narrowed by one’s worldview. Worldview awareness also enables us to ask whether such broadening and narrowing is appropriate. Why do I reject the possibility that God healed Aunt Martha? Are there good reasons for such exclusion, or is it based merely on unexamined worldview presuppositions? Why do I reject the possibility that a vampire sucked the blood out of a victim? Do I have good reasons for disbelieving in vampires and thus concluding that vampires (as nonexisting creatures) do not commit murder, or is the exclusion based merely on unexamined worldview presuppositions? In other words, is there a rational justification for the contours of my pool of live options?

For more on the pool of live options, and all things worldview, check out:


Tawa J. Anderson, W. Michael Clark, and David K. Naugle, An Introduction to Christian Worldview: Pursuing God's Perspective in a Pluralistic World. IVP Academic, October 2017. 384 pp. Amazon link

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